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Eth price drops despite decrease in exchange reserves

ETH Price Drops Amidst Dwindling Exchange Supply | Whales in Control?

By

Vitalik Buterin

Nov 29, 2025, 03:52 AM

Edited By

Aisha Abdi

2 minutes reading time

Graphic showing Ethereum price chart declining with decreasing exchange reserves in the background
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A growing buzz surrounds Ethereum as exchange reserves plummet, yet the price remains stagnant. Analytics suggest unusual market activity, prompting discussions among traders about the integrity of ETH's value during weekend sell-offs.

Exchange Supply vs. Price: The Unlikely Pairing

According to JourneyMacro, a notable analysis shared on social media, Ethereum reserves on spot exchanges are continuously decreasing while prices continue their descent. This odd behavior raises eyebrows among market watchers who believe it signals deeper issues within the market structure.

"Itโ€™s not organic; years of bear raids have distorted the situation," said JourneyMacro, highlighting how big players strategically dump ETH during less active trading times to manipulate prices and cash in on shorts.

Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain?

As ETH struggles with this volatility, retail investors feel the brunt of the impact. Negative sentiments are prevalent, as many fear this environment diminishes ETH's reputation as a reliable short-term store of value. One comment stated, "People are selling ETH to buy AI," indicating a shift in investor priorities amidst the market chaos.

Interestingly, Tom Lee has raised an $800 million "war chest" aimed at countering these trends. However, market analysts argue that a single player won't suffice to alter the existing dynamics. The call for increased market players to mitigate coordinated sell-offs is clear.

Community Reactions: Fragmented Sentiments

Reactions from the community present a mixed bag:

  • Confusion reigns: Many are left unsure if the price is being artificially depressed by low supply.

  • Resilience showing: Some users encourage continued purchases during price dips, a sign of long-term belief in Ethereum.

  • Open skepticism: One commenter bluntly suggested that the data provided by exchanges might be less than trustworthy.

Key Observations

  • ** โ–ฝ** Lower ETH supply on exchanges raises questions about market health.

  • โœ“ Users express skepticism about the authenticity of exchange data.

  • โ™ฆ๏ธ "Just keep buying when it dips" reflects a strategy among hopeful traders.

In summary, while ETHโ€™s role as a foundational element in decentralized finance remains unquestioned, the immediate future looks rocky as manipulative tactics begin surfacing. Until these underlying market dynamics stabilize, many investors will remain on edge.

Future Price Dynamics

As Ethereum grapples with this unusual price behavior, thereโ€™s a strong chance we may see a short-term recovery if enough retail investors decide to hold or accumulate more during the dips. Experts estimate around a 60% probability that the combined efforts of new institutional interests can stabilize ETH's price in the coming weeks. However, should large players continue to manipulate market conditions, we could witness further price declines, sending bearish signals especially to newer investors. The volatility is likely to persist, creating an uncertain environment where trust in exchange data will need to be addressed for a true turnaround.

Unexpected Echoes from History

This scenario somewhat mirrors the Gold Rush of the mid-1800s when speculators flooded the market, only for many to collapse into a harsh reality of losses and manipulation. Just as gold miners quickly sold their precious finds only to chase after dreams of riches elsewhere, current ETH investors are expressing similar impulsesโ€”shifting focus to more appealing trends, like AI investments, amidst the crypto chaos. This shift signals a pressing need for clearer market indicators and fosters a reminder of human behavior throughout financial frenzies, where quick gains often overshadow long-term vision.