Edited By
Jasmine Wong

A sharp drop in Bitcoin prices sent shockwaves this week, with the currency falling below $100,000. Matt Hougan, from Bitwise, offers a unique perspective, likening the current market trends to Facebookโs 2012 IPO, and suggesting it could be a prime time for investors to buy more.
While some are panicking, others are standing on the sidelines. Hougan believes that todayโs struggles with Bitcoin mirror Facebookโs past, where early employees sold off shares before a price surge. He asserts that seasoned holders cashing out now could fuel demand from institutions.
"This sideways chop isn't weakness; itโs maturity," Hougan stated, highlighting how significant sales are now more easily absorbed due to institutional interest through ETFs and funds.
He argues the current environment signals a shift, suggesting that the old norm of a 1% allocation could be inadequate, urging investors towards a 5% minimum commitment.
Among the discussions on forums, sentiments vary widely. Here are some key responses:
A critical voice expressed fear Bitcoin might drop to zero, stating, "I think Bitcoin is going to $0."
Another commenter advised caution, advising investors to hold back cash for a sharper decline, saying, "Buy more doesnโt mean empty your life savings. Save some dry powder for true discount late 2026."
There are those looking for buy-in opportunities, with one participant waiting for prices to dip further, stating, "Iโm waiting for ~75k."
Institutional demand remains fraught with skepticism among people. One commenter questioned the sustainability of independent money in a landscape dominated by banks, noting, "Do you really think banks and elites would allow independent money?" Meanwhile, others shared practical advice, emphasizing the need to find a balance in investment strategies.
"If you can afford to then do so," advised one participant.
โท Houganโs analysis likens current Bitcoin trends to Facebookโs IPO struggle.
โฝ A significant number of comments reflect bearish sentiments, with skepticism on Bitcoin's future.
โป "This sideways action might be the calm before the storm" - popular comment.
The volatility observed in Bitcoin's price isnโt necessarily a sign of weakness, but part of a wider maturation in its marketplace. As people assess their next steps, it remains to be seen whether this moment will mark a pivotal time for accumulating Bitcoin.
For further insights on the crypto market, keep an eye on emerging investment trends.
Going forward, the outlook for Bitcoin could see significant fluctuations. Experts estimate thereโs a strong chance that institutional investment will continue to drive demand, with a probability around 70% that we could see prices stabilize or even rise as funds increase their exposure to crypto. However, the fear of a drastic decline, voiced by some on forums, raises the likelihood of a continued cautious approach among retail investors, with a possible delay in major buy-ins until prices drop further. Overall, while the current volatility embodies a maturation process, thereโs a fair chance of seeing Bitcoin reach new highs if institutional strategies align with an accepting market environment.
Consider the rise of hybrid cars in the early 2000s. Initially viewed with skepticism, they represented a shift in consumer preferences and automobile innovation. Just as investors turned from fossil fuels to greener options, Bitcoin is reshaping perceptions of value in finance. This parallel suggests that like hybrid vehicles, cryptocurrencies could solidify their place in the market once they pass through the cycle of doubt and establish a trusted, practical foundation. Just as driven consumers pushed for greener technology, todayโs investors might catalyze Bitcoinโs evolution, ultimately influencing its broader acceptance.