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Biden vs trump: a year of bitcoin and crypto returns

Biden vs Trump | Year in Crypto Returns Sparks Debate

By

Cassie Kozyrkov

Jan 24, 2026, 07:13 PM

Edited By

Lara Johnson

2 minutes reading time

Side-by-side portraits of Presidents Biden and Trump with symbols of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana in the background

A recent analysis of cryptocurrency performances reveals contrasting trends during the first years of Presidents Biden and Trump. Investors and people in forums are grappling with how tariffs and economic policies are influencing market behavior.

Context of the Analysis

As of January 2026, the crypto landscape reflects a turbulent year in returns. Under Biden's first year in office, Bitcoin saw a minimal drop of about 1.5%. Conversely, Trump's first-year return has shown a more substantial decline of around 8.4%. This stark difference raises questions about the impact of Trumpโ€™s administration on the crypto market.

Performance Breakdown

  1. Bitcoin

    • Biden's Year: -1.5%

    • Trump's Year: -8.4%

    • Tariffs appear to be a major factor in the drop.

  2. Ethereum

    • Biden's Year: +94.5%

    • Trump's Year: -10.9%

    • Growth under Biden contrasted sharply with declines under Trump.

  3. Solana

    • Biden's Year: +2,243%

    • Trump's Year: -48.1%

    • A huge rise during Bidenโ€™s term showcases Solanaโ€™s rapid adoption.

Changing Sentiments in Crypto

People are expressing mixed feelings about how tariffs and other economic policies impact crypto investments. A key comment noted, "People donโ€™t purchase crypto when they canโ€™t find jobs," highlighting that economic stability plays a significant role.

Moreover, another user argues, "Tariffs are bad for crypto," emphasizing the negative sentiment surrounding current policies. Others are vocal about their opinions, with one stating, "F**K TRUMP!" indicating a strong anti-Trump sentiment in some quarters.

Whatโ€™s Next for Crypto Investors?

Attention is now on whether Trump could guarantee no new tariffs. Many believe that would stabilize the market: "If there was an unexpected event requiring printing billions, crypto could explode to highs." This highlights the potential for significant market changes based on political decisions.

Key Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ”ฝ Bitcoin declined by 8.4% this past year under Trump.

  • ๐ŸŒฑ Ethereum saw almost double growth (94.5%) in Bidenโ€™s first year.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฅ Solanaโ€™s initial explosive growth phased into a significant decline under Trump.

  • Comments suggest a consistent relationship between economic conditions and crypto investment.

The Bottom Line

As 2026 unfolds, the intricate relationship between political policy and crypto performance sets the stage for ongoing discussions among investors. What remains uncertain is how upcoming decisions will further drive these volatile markets.

Looking into the Crypto Crystal Ball

Experts anticipate a significant shift in the crypto market as 2026 unfolds. If Trump addresses tariffs positively, there's a strong chance that Bitcoin could recover some losses, perhaps regaining up to 5% of its value. Conversely, concerns about ongoing economic instability might push Ethereum and Solana's gains to the next level, with estimates suggesting an additional 30% or more growth in favorable conditions. Market sentiment seems tied to government actions, and any abrupt policy changes could drive volatility. With many watching closely, the upcoming fiscal stance will likely dictate whether crypto sees a bullish trajectory or faces further dips.

Historical Echoes of Transformation

Consider the impact of Prohibition in the 1920sโ€”a time when the U.S. economy faced enormous challenges yet saw the rise of underground markets and new trade routes. Just as speakeasies became havens for innovation outside the traditional economy, today's crypto lovers might find ways to navigate tariffs and regulations, using bold strategies to thrive. The patterns of economic disruption fueled resilience, much like the current crypto world is adapting to administration policies while seeking new opportunities amid uncertainty.